Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.159981 0.180075 0.201122 0.224755 0.250500 0.277640 0.308358
2025-02-16 0.133600 0.160870 0.190889 0.226201 0.266409 0.310575 0.362559
2025-02-23 0.117693 0.150187 0.187499 0.233110 0.286941 0.348027 0.422141
2025-03-02 0.100463 0.135526 0.177426 0.230501 0.295207 0.370791 0.464964
2025-03-09 0.087810 0.124717 0.170464 0.230291 0.305346 0.395249 0.509834
2025-03-16 0.076898 0.114759 0.163343 0.228799 0.313101 0.416394 0.550742
2025-03-23 0.070273 0.109613 0.161667 0.233635 0.328430 0.446831 0.603461
2025-03-30 0.062898 0.102604 0.156785 0.233630 0.337090 0.468724 0.645694
2025-04-06 0.056442 0.096189 0.152060 0.233253 0.344838 0.489268 0.686350
2025-04-13 0.050828 0.090408 0.147669 0.232832 0.352166 0.509116 0.726252
2025-04-20 0.046578 0.086247 0.145193 0.234748 0.362462 0.532870 0.771533
2025-04-27 0.043939 0.084330 0.145785 0.240904 0.378629 0.564674 0.827974
2025-05-04 0.039965 0.080036 0.142724 0.241866 0.387946 0.588071 0.874665
2025-05-11 0.036985 0.077098 0.141498 0.245392 0.400928 0.616730 0.929069
2025-05-18 0.035362 0.076322 0.143568 0.253899 0.421302 0.656048 0.998816
2025-05-25 0.031723 0.071589 0.138917 0.251747 0.425816 0.673126 1.038162
2025-06-01 0.028896 0.068027 0.135892 0.251879 0.433572 0.694808 1.084189
2025-06-08 0.026088 0.064183 0.132086 0.250478 0.438817 0.712855 1.125308
2025-06-15 0.024642 0.062842 0.132455 0.255779 0.454369 0.746040 1.188380
2025-06-22 0.022516 0.059888 0.129763 0.255837 0.461689 0.767246 1.234624
2025-06-29 0.020529 0.056988 0.126939 0.255468 0.468214 0.787295 1.279438
2025-07-06 0.018719 0.054249 0.124194 0.255036 0.474519 0.807030 1.324027
2025-07-13 0.017379 0.052396 0.122961 0.257103 0.484813 0.832871 1.377885